Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.001321 0.001435 0.001557 0.001697 0.001857 0.002032 0.002240
2025-11-23 0.001186 0.001339 0.001513 0.001727 0.001986 0.002292 0.002685
2025-11-30 0.001084 0.001257 0.001462 0.001725 0.002059 0.002475 0.003046
2025-12-07 0.000990 0.001171 0.001392 0.001684 0.002069 0.002572 0.003297
2025-12-14 0.000922 0.001110 0.001344 0.001663 0.002097 0.002687 0.003580
2025-12-21 0.000858 0.001046 0.001286 0.001620 0.002089 0.002747 0.003785
2025-12-28 0.000777 0.000957 0.001187 0.001515 0.001983 0.002655 0.003747
2026-01-04 0.000721 0.000896 0.001123 0.001451 0.001928 0.002630 0.003807
2026-01-11 0.000686 0.000860 0.001090 0.001428 0.001931 0.002689 0.004007
2026-01-18 0.000659 0.000834 0.001069 0.001420 0.001953 0.002779 0.004267
2026-01-25 0.000724 0.000937 0.001232 0.001691 0.002428 0.003650 0.006071
2026-02-01 0.000680 0.000885 0.001172 0.001623 0.002356 0.003594 0.006112
2026-02-08 0.000643 0.000844 0.001130 0.001587 0.002346 0.003671 0.006487
2026-02-15 0.000626 0.000832 0.001129 0.001616 0.002451 0.003970 0.007410
2026-02-22 0.000603 0.000808 0.001110 0.001614 0.002501 0.004173 0.008176
2026-03-01 0.000573 0.000774 0.001072 0.001576 0.002483 0.004239 0.008633
2026-03-08 0.000549 0.000748 0.001046 0.001557 0.002495 0.004369 0.009289
2026-03-15 0.000524 0.000717 0.001009 0.001518 0.002467 0.004408 0.009714
2026-03-22 0.000487 0.000668 0.000943 0.001422 0.002321 0.004174 0.009307
2026-03-29 0.000461 0.000634 0.000898 0.001363 0.002243 0.004084 0.009310
2026-04-05 0.000444 0.000614 0.000876 0.001342 0.002239 0.004158 0.009832
2026-04-12 0.000431 0.000600 0.000863 0.001335 0.002259 0.004292 0.010593
2026-04-19 0.000469 0.000666 0.000984 0.001583 0.002840 0.005910 0.017531